(i) Research on the following topics:
a) Climate variability and predictability studies for the Indian Region.
b) Development of empirical models for the long range and extended range prediction.
c) Sensitivity studies using dynamical models.
d) Coupled modeling.
e) Experimental forecasts of rainfall over smaller regions (at subdivision scale) based on statistical downscaling and recalibration of dynamical model simulations.
f) Impact of ENSO, MJO and IOD on monsoon.
i. Improvement of the existing operational models
ii. Development of dynamical model forecasting system for the all the seasons (for both temperature and rainfall).
iii.Establish coupled model system using international and national collaboration.
iv. Forecasts at smaller regions (district/ subdivisions wise) using statistical downscaling and recalibration techniques.
v. Development of operational forecasting system for intraseasonal variability of monsoon rainfall.
vi. Extend LRF services to entire south Asia.
vii.Development of daily rainfall at very high resolution spatial grid 0.25oX 0.25o
|Forecast to be issued
|Tentative time of issue
|First Stage Forecast for the Season (June –September) Rainfall over the country as a Whole
|Date of Monsoon Onset over Kerala
|Around 15th May
|Second Stage Forecast consisting of update for the first stage forecast, forecast for monthly rainfall over the country as a whole for the months of July & August, and the season rainfall over four geographical regions of the country.
|First week of June
|Mid Monsoon Review and Outlook for Second half of Season (August-September).
|End week of July
|Outlook for September Rainfall over the country as a whole.
|End week of August
|End of Season Report for 2010 Southwest Monsoon.
|First half of October
|NE Monsoon Season (October to December) rainfall for south Peninsula.
|End of September
|Winter season (Jan- March) precipitation over north India.
|End of December
|Verification of NE Monsoon Season (October to December) rainfall for south Peninsula.
|First half of January
|Verification of Winter season (Jan- March) precipitation over north India.
|First half of April